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Quarterly Newsletter

March 07, 2022
2021 NOAA Research Outstanding Publication Award
Improvements to Lake-Effect Snow Forecasts Using a One-Way Air–Lake Model Coupling Approach - Journal of HydrometeorologyGSL scientists are co-authors on a publication that has been awarded the 2021 NOAA Research Outstanding Publication - Weather. “Improvements to Lake-Effect Snow Forecasts Using a ONe-Way Air-Lake Model Coupling Approach” was p...

February 24, 2022
The Marshall Fire: A NOAA story map
The historic Marshall firestorm destroyed the homes of several GSL staff. This story map by NOAA Boulder illustrates some of the ways NOAA responds when disaster strikes. The story shows how the GSL- developed HRRR model accurately predicted extreme winds and was critical in the decision-making of the NOAA National Weather Service in Boulder.

February 24, 2022
GSL experimental model simulates Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha‘apai eruption
On January 15, 2022 a powerful underwater volcanic eruption blanketed the island nation of Tonga with ash, but not before it also rocketed ash, dust, and other particles high into the atmosphere. Volcanic eruptions inject sulfur gases and ash into the troposphere and sometimes the stratosphere, and are one of the most important drivers of clima...

February 02, 2022
GSL releases Hydrology Hazard Simplification Phase I to NWS operations
The GSL-developed Hazard Services “Hazard Simplification” Phase I messaging and consolidation process for hydrology hazards was activated at all NWS sites nationwide in November 2021 in collaboration with the NWS. Phase I includes updated messaging for river flooding, flash flooding, and area flooding. The changes include:“What/Where/When” forma...

January 18, 2022
Evaluating the Economic Impacts of Improvements to Weather Models
You can only have an economic impact if the new version results in a different decision. Weather forecasts play an essential role in how different sectors plan and make decisions. The energy community benefits from good wind forecasts. A worker saves the company time by planning their commute around weather that might make them late for work. ...

January 18, 2022
Blog Post: Untangling Positional and Structural Forecast Errors
Fig. 1. Schematic for total forecast error decomposition: (1) Spatially align a forecast with the verifying analysis field; (2) Smooth original and aligned forecast and analysis to remove unpredictable smaller scales; (3) Decompose total error into orthogonal (right angle) components of (i) large scale positional error, (ii) large scale structur...