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Publications

Title GSL Contributors GSL Lead GSL Authorship Publisher Journal DOI Date Added
FY 2025
Exploring how community context informs variations in local perceptions of forest disturbance and land management in Colorado over time Jamie Vickery J. Vickery Co-Author Elsevier Environmental and Sustainability Indicators https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2024.100439 10/1/24
Daily Fire Radiative Energy Using Data Driven Methods and Machine Learning Techniques Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040514 10/1/24
Statistical Postprocessing of Week-1 and Week-2 Precipitation Forecasts over Taiwan Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0177.1 10/1/24
An LES exploration of the assumptions used in retrieving entrainment from a mixing diagram approach with ground-based remote sensors Dave Turner, Julia Simonson D. Turner Co-Author AMS Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2894 10/28/24
Large-scale ozone episodes in Europe: Decreasing sizes in the last decades but diverging changes in the future Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author Elsevier Science of The Total Environment https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175071 11/1/24
National Weather Service (NWS) Forecasters’ Perceptions of AI/ML and Its Use in Operational Forecasting Jacob Radford J. Radford Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0044.1 11/1/24
Opportunities for Implementation of Disaster Risk Management Strategies Among Public Housing Authorities Jamie Vickery J. Vickery Co-Author Sage Journal of Planning Education and Research https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X241293384 11/11/24
Improving solution availability and temporal consistency of an optimal estimation physical retrieval for ground-based thermodynamic boundary layer profiling Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6603-2024 11/20/24
Quantifying and Visualizing Severe Thunderstorm Motion Uncertainty for Improved Decision Support Daniel Nietfeld D. Nietfeld Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0041.1 12/1/24
Evaluating the ability of the operational High Resolution Rapid Refresh model version 3 (HRRRv3) and version 4 (HRRRv4) to forecast wind ramp events in the US Great Plains Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EAWE Wind Energy Science https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-2024-133 12/9/24
Accelerating Community-Wide Evaluation of AI Models for Global Weather Prediction by Facilitating Access to Model Output Jacob Radford, Jebb Stewart J. Radford Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0057.1 1/1/25
INTEGRATED TEAM APPROACH: FIRE DETECTIONS AND WARNINGS LIKELY SAVED LIVES IN HISTORIC U.S. WILDFIRES Zach Tolby Z. Tolby Co-Author IAWF Wildfire Magazine https://www.iawfonline.org/article/integrated-team-approach/ 1/1/25
Development of the next-generation air quality prediction system in the Unified Forecast System framework: Enhancing predictability of wildfire air quality impacts Georg Grell G. Grell Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0053.1 1/15/25
Depth Matters: Lake Bathymetry Selection in Numerical Weather Prediction Systems Eric James, Tanya Smirnova, Stan Benjamin, Mike Barlage E. James Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041794 1/18/25
Propagating Information Content: An Example with Advection Dave Turner, Julia Simonson D. Turner Lead Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4124 1/22/25
The Development of a Regional, High-Resolution OSSE Framework to Study the Impact of Observations from Uncrewed Aircraft Systems on Numerical Weather Prediction Shawn Murdzek, Terra Ladwig S. Murdzek Lead Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-24-0056.1 2/1/25
Integration of Emerging Data-Driven Models into the NOAA Research-to-Operations Pipeline for Numerical Weather Prediction Isidora Jankov, Jebb Stewart I. Jankov Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0062.1 2/1/25
Improved Snow Albedo Evolution in Noah-MP Land Surface Model Coupled with a Physical Snowpack Radiative Transfer Scheme Michael Barlage M. Barlage Co-Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-24-0082.1 2/1/25
Evaluation, Calibration, and Application of Probabilistic 100-m Wind Speed Forecasts Produced by the WRF Ensemble Prediction System in Taiwan Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0210.1 2/1/25
Weather Forecasting: What Sets the Forecast Skill Horizon? (book chapter) Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Lead Author Elsevier Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction, 2nd Edition https://shop.elsevier.com/books/sub-seasonal-to-seasonal-prediction/robertson/978-0-443-31538-1 2/27/25
Evaluation of 0–6-Hour Forecasts from the Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System and the Hybrid Analysis and Forecast System for Real-Time Cases in 2021 Sijie Pan S. Pan Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0143.1 3/1/25
NOAA Fire Weather Testbed Launches First In-Person Evaluation B.J. Hatchett, K. Thiem, Z. Tolby, S. Hoekstra, J. Vickery, and D. Nietfeld E. Wells Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0204.1 3/5/25
Incorporating Cooking Emissions To Better Simulate the Impact of Zero-Emission Vehicle Adoption on Ozone Pollution in Los Angeles Jordan Schnell, Ravan Ahmadov J. Schnell Co-Author ACS Environmental Science & Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5c00902 3/12/25
Impacts of Terrain Slope and Surface Roughness Variations on Turbulence Generation in the Nighttime Stable Boundary Layer Sudheer Bhimireddy S. Bhimireddy Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041815 3/19/25
Fire Intensity and spRead forecAst (FIRA): A Machine Learning Based Fire Spread Prediction Model for Air Quality Forecasting Application Ravan Ahmadov, Johana Romero-Alvarez, Haiqin Li, Jordan Schnell R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU GeoHealth https://doi.org/10.1029%2F2024GH001253 3/22/25
A Comparison of AI Weather Prediction and Numerical Weather Prediction Models for 1–7-Day Precipitation Forecasts Jacob Radford, Jebb Stewart J. Radford Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0081.1 4/1/25
Comments on “Identifying Z DR Columns in Radar Data with the Hotspot Technique” Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0150.1 4/22/25
Toward a global planetary boundary layer observing system: A summary Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0228.1 5/6/25
Distilling Machine Learning’s Added Value: Pareto Fronts in Atmospheric Applications Ryan Lagerquist R. Lagerquist Co-Author AMS Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-24-0078.1 5/14/25
Identifying data sources and physical strategies used by neural networks to predict TC rapid intensification Ryan Lagerquist R. Lagerquist Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0166.1 5/15/25
The short life of upvalley wind in a high-altitude mountain valley in the Colorado Rocky Mountains Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JD043455 5/30/25
Recommendations for the NSF facilities for atmospheric research and education (FARE): Access and capabilities Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0125.1 6/1/25
Surrogate flash flooding: Probabilistic excessive rainfall predictions from the High Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) system Eric James E. James Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-25-0017.1 6/2/25
Impact of assimilating thermodyanamic and kinematic profiles on a convective initiation forecast Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0233.1 6/12/25
Simulating aerosol-radiation effects on subseasonal prediction using the coupled Unified Forecast System and CCPP-Chem: prescribed aerosol climatology versus interactive aerosol model Shan Sun, Georg Grell, Kate Zhang S. Sun Lead Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004392 6/30/25
Benchmarking near surface winds in the HRRR analyses using multi-source measurements over the complex terrain of the southeastern United States Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-24-0163.1 6/30/25
An observational evaluation of RKW theory over the US Southern Great Plains Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-24-0185.1 7/1/25
Characterizing near-surface moisture increase during the clear-sky afternoon-to-evening transition using a single column model Dave Turner, Stan Benjamin, Julia Simonson, Joe Olson D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-24-0101.1 7/1/25
An hourly wildfire potential index for predicting sub-daily fire activity based on rapidly-updating convection-allowing model forecasts Eric James, Ravan Ahmadov, Johana Romero-Alvarez, Georg Grell, Ivan Csiszar, Jordan Schnell E. James Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-24-0068.1 7/2/25
Demonstrating Hierarchical System Development with the Common Community Physics 2 Package Single-Column Model: A Case Study over the Southern Great Plains Ligia Bernardet, Man Zhang, Grant Firl L. Bernardet Co-Author RMS Meteorological Applications https://doi.org/10.1002/met.70073 7/7/25
Enhancing Aerosol Direct Feedback for Numerical Weather Prediction in NOAA's Rapid Refresh Forecast System-Smoke and Dusk (RRFS-SD v1) Haiqin Li, Ravan Ahmadov, Johana Romero-Alvarez, Georg Grell, Joe Olson, Jordan Schnell, Eric James, Sam Trahan, Ming Hu, Sudheer Bhimireddy H. Li Lead Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL115384 7/28/25
Simultaneous Assimilation of Dual-Polarization Radar and All-Sky Satellite Observations to Improve Convection Forecasts Keenan Eure K. Eure Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0157.1 7/29/25
Nocturnal convection along a trailing-end cold front: Insights from ground-based remote sensing observations Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author MDPI Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16080926 7/30/25
The Atmospheric Sounder Spectrometer by Infrared Spectral Technology (ASSIST): Instrument design and signal processing Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-18-3585-2025 7/31/25
Excessive downward shortwave radiation in the HRRR and RAP weather models and testing strategies for improvements Dave Turner, Stan Benjamin, Eric James S. Benjamin Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-25-0094.1 8/4/25
COSP-RTTOV-1.0: Flexible radiation diagnostics to enable new science applications in model evaluation, climate change detection, and satellite mission design Dustin Swales, Dave Turner D. Swales Co-Author EGU Geoscience Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4935-2025 8/13/25
Importance of Ocean Initialization in ENSO Predictions: Accuracy Versus Consistency Shan Sun S. Sun Lead Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116972 8/17/25
Isopycnic Modeling of Ocean Circulation Rainer Bleck, Shan Sun R. Bleck Lead Author SciELO Ocean and Coastal Research https://doi.org/10.1590/2675-2824073.25024 8/18/25
A simple and realistic aerosol emission approach for use in the Thompson–Eidhammer microphysics scheme in the NOAA UFS Weather Model (version GSL global-24Feb2022) Haiqin Li, Georg Grell, Ravan Ahmadov, Li Zhang, Shan Sun, Jordan Schnell, Ning Wang H. Li Lead Author EGU EGU Sphere https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1271 10/1/23
Camera traps link population-level activity patterns with wildfire smoke events for mammals in Eastern Washington State Eric James, Ravan Ahmadov E. James Co-Author Springer Fire Ecology https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-023-00207-1 10/1/23
Sensitivity of Near-Surface Variables in the RUC Land Surface Model in the Weather Research and Forecasting Tatiana Smirnova, Dave Turner, Siwei He T. Smirnova Co-Author NREL NREL Technical Report https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy23osti/84961.pdf 10/1/23
2022-2023 Global-Nest Initiative Activity Summary: Recent Results and Future Plans Anders Jensen A. Jensen Co-Author NOAA NOAA Technical Memo https://doi.org/10.25923/yx20-3k04 10/1/23
FESSTVaL: The Field Experiment on Submesoscale Spatio-Temporal Variability in Lindenberg Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0330.1 10/1/23
Landscape Fire, Smoke, and Health: Linking Biomass Burning Emissions to Human Well‐Being: Chapter 9 Profiles of Operational and Research Forecasting of Smoke and Air Quality Around the World Eric James, Ravan Ahmadov E. James Co-Author AGU Geophysical Monograph Series https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119757030.ch9 10/20/23
Estimating Full Longwave and Shortwave Radiative Transfer with Neural Networks of Varying Complexity Ryan Lagerquist, Dave Turner, Jebb Stewart R. Lagerquist Lead Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-23-0012.1 11/1/23
Multi-model prediction of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease with machine learning for identification of important regional climatic drivers Stan Benjamin, Ben Green S. Benjamin Co-Author AGU GeoHealth https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GH000906 11/17/23
A better representation of VOC chemistry and ozone in the present urban environment over Los Angeles using WRF-Chem Ravan Ahmadov J. Schnell Co-Author EGU EGU Sphere https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2742 11/27/23
The 30 December 2021 Colorado Front Range windstorm and Marshall Fire: Evolution of surface and 3-d structure, NWP guidance, NWS forecasts and decision support Stan Benjamin, Eric James, Ed Szoke, John Brown S. Benjamin Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0086.1 12/1/23
Measurements and Model Improvement: Insight into NWP Model Error Using Doppler Lidar and Other WFIP2 Measurement Systems Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0069.1 12/1/23
Analyzing the Impact of Evolving Combustion Conditions on the Composition of Wildfire Emissions Using Satellite Data Lindsey Anderson (Intern and grad student), Jordan Schnell, Ravan Ahmadov J. Schnell Co-Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105811 12/6/23
A Case Study Investigating the Low Summertime CAPE Behavior in the Global Forecast System Xia Sun, Ligia Bernardet, Linlin Pan, Dave Turner X. Sun Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0208.1 12/19/23
Warn-on-Forecast System: From Vision to Reality David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0147.1 12/22/23
A change in the weather: Understanding public usage of weather apps Cole Vaughn C. Vaughn Lead Author NWA Journal of Operational Meteorology https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2023.1111 12/29/23
Assessing RRFS versus HRRR in Predicting Widespread Convective Systems over the Eastern CONUS David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0112.1 1/1/24
Vertically resolved aerosol variability at the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory under wet season conditions Janaína P. Nascimento J. Nascimento Co-Author EGU EGU Sphere https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2607 1/9/24
Brief communication: The Lahaina Fire disaster – how models can be used to understand and predict wildfires Eric James E. James Co-Author EGU Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU) https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-47-2024 1/11/24
Effect of Small-Scale Topographical Variations and Fetch from Roughness Elements on the Stable Boundary Layer Turbulence Statistics Sudheer Bhimireddy S. Bhimireddy Lead Author Springer Boundary-Layer Meteorology https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-023-00855-5 1/12/24
A Parameterization for Cloud Organization and Propagation by Evaporation-Driven Cold Pool Edges Georg Grell, Janaína P. Nascimento G. Grell Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (AGU) https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003982 1/16/24
Analysis of the GEFS-Aerosols annual budget to better understand aerosol predictions simulated in the model Li Zhang, Georg A. Grell G. Grell Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-431-2024 1/16/24
Ingesting GOES-16 fire radiative power retrievals into Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James, Georg Grell R. Ahmadov Co-Author CSIRO International Journal of Wildland Fire https://doi.org/10.1071/WF23133 1/25/24
The prototype NOAA Aerosol Reanalysis version 1.0: description of the modeling system and its evaluation Mariusz Pagowski, Bo Huang M. Pagowski Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development (EGU) https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-795-2024 1/31/24
Improving the Science for Wildland Fire Prediction at S2S Scales. D.D. Turner, L. Ott, P.F. Steblein, M. Stieglitz, O. Tweedy, J. Furman, and C.S. James. Dave Turner D. Turner Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0184.1 2/1/24
Advanced Quantitative Precipitation Information: Improving monitoring and forecasts of precipitation, streamflow, and coastal flooding in the San Francisco Bay area Dave Turner, Trevor Alcott, Jason English, Michael Leon, William Moninger, Greg Pratt D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0121.1 2/1/24
Evaluating elements of risk communication in risk messaging from officials on Twitter in the 2021 Marshall fire. Nat Hazards (2024). Cole Vaughn C. Vaughn Lead Author Springer Natural Hazards https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-024-06441-3#citeas 2/15/24
Local Volume Solvers for Earth System Data Assimilation: Implementation in the Framework for Joint Effort for Data Assimilation Integration Bo Huang B. Huang Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (AGU) https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003692 2/17/24
Profiling the molecular destruction rates of temperature and humidity as well as the turbulent kinetic energy dissipation in the convective boundary layer Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-1175-2024 2/19/24
Envisioning the Future of Community Physics Grant Firl, LIgia Bernardet, Dustin Swales, Ming Xue G. Firl Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0001.1 3/1/24
An Evaluation of NOAA Modeled and In Situ Soil Moisture Values and Variability across the Continental United States Daniel Abdi, Kyle Hilburn, Isidora Jankov, Liao-Fan Lin D. Abdi Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0136.1 3/1/24
Integration of emerging data-driven models into the NOAA research to operation pipeline for numerical weather prediction Isidora Jankov, Jebb Stewart I. Jankov Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0062.1 3/8/24
Challenges of Operational Weather Forecast Verification and Evaluation Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0257.1 4/1/2024
Bridging underrepresented disaster scholars and national science foundation‐funded resources Jamie Vickery J. Vickery Co-Author Springer Natural Hazards https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06569-2 4/15/24
A more transparent Infrared window Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041366 4/16/2024
Improving the estimate of higher order moments from Lidar Obs near the top of the convective boundary layer Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU EGU Sphere https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-6595-2024 4/24/2024
Improving solution availability and temporal consistency of an optimal estimation physical retrieval for ground-based thermodynamic boundary layer profiling Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU EGU Sphere https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-714 4/26/2024
A Geospatial Verification Method for Severe Convective Weather Warnings: Implications for Current and Future Warning Methods Greg Stumpf G. Stumpf Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0153.1 5/1/24
On the importance Regime-specific evaluation for NWP, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0177.1 Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0177.1 5/1/24
The Sensitivity of Supercell Cold Pools to the Lifting Condensation Level and the Predicted Particle Properties Microphysics Scheme, Shawn Murdzek S. Murdzek Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0092.1 5/1/2024
A Case Study Featuring the Time Evolution of a Fire-Induced Plume Jet Over the Rum Creek Fire: Mechanisms, Processes, and Dynamical Interplay Ravan Ahmadov R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD040483 5/14/24
Exascale Computing and Data Handling: Challenges and Opportunities for Weather and Climate Prediction Mark Govett M. Govett Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1 5/14/2024
Probabilistic Forecasts of Atmospheric River events using the HRRR Ensemble Jason English J. English Lead Author NWA Journal of Operational Meteorology https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2024.1204 5/15/24
Ensemble forecasting: A foray of dynamics into the realm of statistics Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author RMetS Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meterological Society https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4745 5/15/24
Technical note: An assessment of the performance of statistical bias correction techniques for global chemistry-climate model surface ozone fields Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-5953-2024 5/24/24
Multiagency Ensemble Forecast of Wildfire Air Quality in the United States: Toward Community Consensus of Early Warning. Ravan Ahmadov and Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0208.1 6/1/2024
The propagation, evolution, and rotation in linear storms (PERILS) project Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0064.1 6/12/24
Suitability of the CICE sea ice model for seasonal prediction and positive impact of CryoSat-2 thickness initialization Shan Sun and Amy Solomon S. Sun Lead Author EGU The Cryosphere https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3033-2024 7/3/2024
Sensitivity of thermodynamic profiles retrieved from ground-based microwave and infrared observations to additional input data from active remote sensing instruments and numerical weather prediction models Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-3933-2024 7/3/2024
Representation of Blowing Snow and Associated Visibility Reduction in an Operational High-Resolution Weather Model Tanya Smirnova, Stan Benjamin, Eric James T. Smirnova Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0195.1 7/11/24
Precipitation proxies for flash flooding: A seven year analysis over the contigious U.S. James, Eric E. James Lead Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-23-0203.1 7/11/2024
Ocean component of the first operational version of the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System: Evaluation of Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model and hurricane feedback forecasts Daniel Rosen D. Rosen Co-Author Frontiers Frontiers in Earth Science https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2024.1399409 7/28/24
Evaluation of Hub-Height Wind Forecasts Over the New York Bight Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author Wiley Wind Energy https://doi.org/10.1002/we.2936 7/29/2024
Common Community Physics Package: Fostering Collaborative Development in Physical Parameterizations and Suites Ligia Bernardet L. Bernardet Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0227.1 8/1/24
Fire Weather Testbed Evaluation #001: The Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke Ben Hatchett, Zach Tolby, Jamie Vickery B. Hatchett Lead Author NOAA NOAA Technical Memo 8/31/24
Simulating Mixed-Phase Open Cellular Clouds Observed During COMBLE: Evaluation of Parameterized Turbulence Closure Joe Olson J. Olson Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040889 9/17/24
Assessing WildfireGPT: a comparative analysis of AI models for quantitative wildfire spread prediction Li Zhang L. Zhang Co-Author Springer Natural Hazards https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07344-7 5/28/25
Model Evaluation by Measurements from Collocated Remote Sensors in Complex Terrain Sunil Baidar, Jaymes Kenyon, Joseph Olson, Yelena Pichugina, David Turner, robert banta, W brewer, James wilczak J. Kenyon Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0214.1 10/1/22
Heat flux assumptions contribute to overestimation of wildfire smoke injection into the free troposphere Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell, Eric James, Shobha Kondragunta R. Ahmadov Lead Author Nature Communications Earth and Environment https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00563-x 10/10/22
Performance Comparison of the A-grid and C-grid Shallow-Water Models on Icosahedral Grids Jacques Middlecoff, Yonggang Yu, Mark Govett J. Middlecoff Lead Author Sage The International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/10943420221139509?journalCode=hpcc 11/15/22
Scientific challenges to characterizing the wind resource in the marine atmospheric boundary layer David Turner, James wilczak D. Turner Co-Author European Academy of Wind Energy Wind Energy Science https://doi.org/10.5194/wes-7-2307-2022 11/28/22
Consistency test of precipitating ice cloud retrieval properties obtained from the observations of different instruments operating at Dome-C (Antarctica) David Turner D. Turner Co-Author European Geosciences Union Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-2022-215 12/16/22
Assimilation of Aerosol Optical Depth Into the Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-Smoke) Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037454 12/27/22
Evaluation of a cloudy cold-air pool in the Columbian River Basin in different versions of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model. Bianca Adler, Laura Bianco, Irina Djalalova, Jaymes Kenyon, Joseph Olson, David Turner, James wilczak J. Olson Co-Author EGUsphere Geoscientific Model Development 1/26/23
Evaluation of Aerosol Optical Depth Forecasts from NOAA\'s Global Aerosol Forecast Model (GEFS-Aerosols) Linlin Pan, Raffaele Montuoro, Georg Grell, Jeff McQueen L. Pan Co-Author AMS AMS Journals Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0083.1 2/1/23
Regime-Specific Cloud Vertical Overlap Characteristics From Radar and Lidar Observations at the ARM Sites Kathleen Lantz, Joseph Olson, Laura Riihimaki, Joseph Sedlar, David Turner J. Olson Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037772 3/6/23
Verification and Model Configuration Sensitivity of Simulated ABI Radiance Forecasts With the FV3-LAM Model Curtis Alexander, Jeffrey Beck, Jacob Carley, Adam Clark C. Alexander Lead Author AGU Earth and Space Science https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EA002651 3/18/23
Boundary layer moisture variability at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Eastern North Atlantic observatory during marine conditions. David Turner D. Turner Co-Author European Geophysical Union Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/23/3453/2023/ 3/20/23
Simulation of Neighborhood-Scale Air Quality With Two-Way Coupled WRF-CMAQ Over Southern Lake Michigan-Chicago Region Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037942 3/27/23
JEDI-Based Three-Dimensional Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation System for Global Aerosol Forecasting at NCEP Bo Huang, Mariusz Pagowski, Samuel Trahan, Cory Martin, Andrew Tangborn, Shobha Kondragunta, Daryl Kleist B. Huang Lead Author AGU JAMES https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003232 4/13/23
The Common Community Physics Package (CCPP) Framework v6 Dominikus Heinzeller, Ligia Bernardet, Man Zhang, Xia Sun D. Heinzeller Lead Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2235-2023 4/26/23
The effect of advection on the distribution of turbulent kinetic energy and its generation in idealized tropical cyclone simulations Joseph Olson J. Olson Co-Author Journal of Adv. in Modeling Earth Systems Journal of Adv. in Modeling Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003230 5/16/23
Evaluation of Probabilistic Snow Forecasts for Winter Weather Operations at Intermountain West Airports Dana Uden, Matthew Wandishin, Thomas Schlatter, Michael Kraus D. Uden Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0170.1 5/22/23
Factors Affecting The Rapid Recovery Of Cape On 31 March 2016 During Vortex-Southeast David Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0051.1 6/1/23
Using the U.S. Climate Reference Network to Identify Biases in Near- and Subsurface Meteorological Fields in the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Weather Prediction Model Temple Lee, David Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0213.1 6/1/23
Evaluation of the Near-Surface Variables in the HRRR Weather Model Using Observations from the ARM SGP Site Siwei He, David Turner, Stanley Benjamin, Joseph Olson, Tatiana Smirnova, Tilden Meyers S. He Lead Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0003.1 6/1/23
Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes and Impacts: Report from IWTC-X Benjamin Green B. Green Co-Author ScienceDirect ScienceDirect https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2023.06.003 6/3/23
Impact of Seasonal Snow-Cover Change on the Observed and Simulated State of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer in a High-Altitude Mountain Valley Bianca Adler, James wilczak, Laura Bianco, Ludovic Bariteau, Gijs de Boer, Irina Djalalova, Michael Gallagher, Timothy Myers, Joseph Olson, Sergio Pezoa, Joseph Sedlar, Elizabeth Smith, David Turner, allen white J. Olson Co-Author AGU AGU - JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038497 6/14/23
Advancing Tropical Cyclone Precipitation Forecast Verification Methods and Tools Ligia Bernardet L. Bernardet Co-Author AMS AMS Journals Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0001.1 6/15/23
Were Wildfires Responsible for the Unusually High Surface Ozone in 2 Colorado during 2021? Andrew Langford, Ravan Ahmadov, Wayne Angevine, W brewer, Sunil Baidar, Eric James, Brandi McCarty, Scott Sandberg R. Ahmadov Lead Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD037700 6/20/23
A Methodology for Estimating the Energy and Moisture Budget of the Convective Boundary Layer Using Continuous Ground-Based Infrared Spectrometer Observations Ryann Wakefield, David Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0163.1 7/1/23
Proceedings of the 2023 Improving Scientific Software Conference Christina Holt C. Holt Lead Author NCAR, UCAR NCAR/UCAR Opensky http://dx.doi.org/10.5065/j0e4-ss70 7/1/23
The Prediction of Supercooled Large Drops by a Microphysics and a Machine Learning Model for the ICICLE Field Campaign Anders Jensen A. Jensen Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0105.1 7/1/23
Observations of Fog-Aerosol Interactions Over Central Greenland David Turner, Matthew Schupe D. Turner Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD038718 7/16/23
Observed Changes in Interannual Precipitation Variability in the United States Ryan Harp R. Harp Lead Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104533 7/16/23
Geofluid object workbench (GeoFLOW) for atmospheric dynamics in the approach to exascale: Spectral element formulation and CPU performance Duane Rosenberg, Bryan Flynt, Mark Govett, Isidora Jankov D. Rosenberg Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0250.1 7/20/23
Insights into the relation between vertical cloud structure and dynamics of three polar lows: Observations from COMBLE David Turner D. Turner Co-Author Royal Meteorological Society Quarterly Journal of the RMS https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4543 7/27/23
Doppler Lidar Measurements of Wind Variability and LLJ Properties in Central Oklahoma during the August 2017 Land–Atmosphere Feedback Experiment Yelena Pichugina, robert banta, W brewer, David Turner, Sunil Baidar Y. Pichugina Lead Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-22-0128.1 8/1/23
Using Object-Based Verification to Assess Improvements in Forecasts of Convective Storms Between Operational HRRR Versions 3 and 4 Jeffrey Duda, David Turner J. Duda Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0181.1 8/2/23
Using optimal estimation to retrieve winds from velocity-azimuth display (VAD) scans by a Doppler lidar Sunil Baidar, David Turner, W brewer D. Turner Co-Author European Geosciences Union Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-16-3715-2023 8/10/23
Camera traps link population-level activity patterns with wildfire smoke events for mammals in Eastern Washington State Eric James E. James Lead Author Springer Open Access Fire Ecology https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-023-00207-1 8/24/23
Intermittency Scaling for Mixing and Dissipation in Rotating Stratified Turbulence at the Edge of Instability Duane Rosenberg D. Rosenberg Co-Author MDPI Open Access Journals, Atmosphere MDPI Open Access Journals, Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14091375 8/31/23
Competing Forecast Verification: Using the Power-Divergence Statistic for Testing the Frequency of “Better David Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-22-0201.1 9/1/23
Sensitivities of Subseasonal Unified Forecast System Simulations to Changes in Parameterizations of Convection, Cloud Microphysics, and Planetary Boundary Layer Benjamin Green, Shan Sun, Vijay Tallapragada, Georg Grell B. Green Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0338.1 9/1/23
Assessing Variations in the Predictive Skill of Ensemble Snowband Forecasts with Object-Oriented Verification and Self-Organizing Maps Jacob Radford J. Radford Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0004.1 9/1/23
Improving the Representation of Hail in the Thompson Microphysics Scheme Anders Jensen A. Jensen Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0319.1 9/1/23
Sensitivity of Near-Surface Variables in the RUC Land Surface Model in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model Siwei He, Tatiana Smirnova, David Turner, Geng Xia S. He Co-Author NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory Technical Report 9/29/23
FY 2022
The economic effects of improved precipitation forecasts in the United States due to better commuting decisions Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author Wiley Growth and Change https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.12542 9/28/21
Megafires and Thick Smoke Portend Big Problems For Migratory Birds Eric James, Ravan Ahmadov E. James Co-Author ESA Ecology https://doi.org/10.1002/ecy.3552 10/8/21
Controls on surface aerosol particle number concentrations and aerosol-limited cloud regimes over the central Greenland Ice Sheet Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-15351-2021 10/14/21
Evaluating Operational and Experimental HRRR Model Forecasts of Atmospheric River Events in California Jason English, Dave Turner, Trevor Alcott, William Moninger, Melinda Marquis J. English Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0081.1 10/21/21
Hydrometeorological Assessment of Satellite and Model Precipitation Products Over Taiwan Liao-Fan Lin L. Lin Co-Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0130.1 10/21/21
Assessment of Storm-Scale Real Time Assimilation of GOES-16 GLM Lightning-Derived Water Vapor Mass on Short Term Precipitation Forecasts During the 2020 Spring Forecast Experiment Eric James, Ming Hu M. Hu Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034603 10/25/21
Doppler Lidar Evaluation of HRRR Model Skill at Simulating Summertime Wind Regimes in the Columbia River Basin during WFIP2 Joseph Olson, Jaymes Kenyon, Stan Benjamin, Dave Turner J. Olson Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0012.1 10/26/21
Confronting Uncertainties of Simulated Air Pollution Concentrations during Persistent Cold Air Pool Events in the Salt Lake Valley, Utah Xia Sun X. Sun Lead Author ACS Environmental Science & Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c05467 10/28/21
Using Deep Learning to Nowcast the Spatial Coverage of Convection from Himawari-8 Satellite Data Ryan Lagerquist, Jebb Stewart, Christina Kumler R. Lagerquist Lead Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0096.1 11/19/21
Tornado Formation and Intensity Prediction Using Polarimetric Radar Estimates of Updraft Area Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0087.1 11/23/21
The Experimental Warning Program of NOAA’s Hazardous Weather Testbed Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0017.1 12/1/21
Biases in the Prediction of Convective Storm Characteristics with a Convection Allowing Ensemble David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0106.1 12/16/21
Demonstrating a Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimate for Evaluating Precipitation Forecasts in Complex Terrain Jason English J. English Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0074.1 12/16/21
Storm-Scale Polarimetric Radar Signatures Associated with Tornado Dissipation in Supercells Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0067.1 12/16/21
Quantifying Carbon Monoxide Emissions on the Scale of Large Wildfires Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL095831 12/23/21
Spatial Variation of Surface O3 Responses to Drought Over the Contiguous United States During Summertime: Role of Precursor Emissions and Ozone Chemistry Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035607 12/23/21
A storyline view of the projected role of remote drivers on summer air stagnation in Europe and the United States Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author IOP Environmental Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4290 12/30/21
Comparing Partial and Continuously Cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Systems for Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Initialization David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0069.1 1/1/22
The Effects of Environmental Wind Shear Direction on Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer Thermodynamics and Intensity Change from Multiple Observational Datasets Evan Kalina E. Kalina Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0022.1 1/1/22
Increasing co-occurrence of fine particulate matter and ground-level ozone extremes in the western United States Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author Science Science Advances https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abi9386 1/5/22
Spatial snowdrift modelling for an open natural terrain using a physically-based linear particle distribution equation Siwei He S. He Co-Author Wiley Hydrological Processes https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14468 1/8/22
The Use of Composite GOES-R Satellite Imagery to Evaluate a TC Intensity and Vortex Structure Forecast by an FV3GFS-Based Hurricane Forecast Model Evan Kalina E. Kalina Co-Author MDPI Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010126 1/13/22
Inline coupling of simple and complex chemistry modules within the global weather forecast model FIM (FIM-Chem v1) Li Zhang, Georg Grell, Ravan Ahmadov L. Zhang Lead Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-467-2022 1/20/22
Improving thermodynamic profile retrievals from microwave radiometers by including radio acoustic sounding system (RASS) observations. Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-521-2022 1/31/22
The Influence of Aerosols on Satellite Infrared Radiance Simulations and Jacobians: Numerical Experiments of CRTM and GSI Guoqing Ge, Ming Hu G. Ge Co-Author MDPI Remote Sensing https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14030683 1/31/22
Evaluating the Economic Impacts of Improvements to the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Numerical Weather Prediction Model Dave Turner D. Turner Lead Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0099.1 2/1/22
The Influence of WSR-88D Intra-Volume Scanning Strategies on Thunderstorm Observations and Warnings in the Dual-Polarization Radar Era: 2011–20 Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0127.1 2/1/22
The Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport–Las Vegas Ozone Study (FAST-LVOS) Li Zhang L. Zhang Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-1707-2022 2/4/22
The Aerosol Module in the Community Radiative Transfer Model (v2.2 and v2.3): accounting for aerosol transmittance effects on the radiance observation operator Guoqing Ge, Ming Hu G. Ge Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-1317-2022 2/16/22
Investigating the Impacts of Daytime Boundary Layer Clouds on Surface Energy Fluxes and Boundary Layer Structure During CHEESEHEAD19 Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD036060 2/24/22
Observing Profiles of Derived Kinematic Field Quantities Using a Network of Profiling Sites Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-21-0061.1 3/1/22
Simultaneous Observations of Surface Layer Profiles of Humidity, Temperature, and Wind Using Scanning Lidar Instruments Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035697 3/1/22
Trends in Downwelling Longwave Radiance Over the Southern Great Plains Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035949 3/7/22
Future Climate Change Under Ssp Emission Scenarios With GISS-E2.1 Rainer Bleck R. Bleck Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (AGU) https://doi.org/10.1029/2021MS002871 3/9/22
Characterizing Changes In Eastern U.S. Pollution Events In A Warming World Jordan Schnell J. Schnell Co-Author AGU Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD035985 4/13/22
Simulating land-atmosphere coupling in the Central Valley, California: Investigating soil moisture impacts on boundary layer properties Xia Sun X. Sun Co-Author Elsevier Agricultural and Forest Meteorology https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.108898 4/15/22
Evaluating convective planetary boundary layer height estimations resolved by both active and passive remote sensing instruments during the CHEESEHEAD19 field campaign Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-2479-2022 4/25/22
Forecasting lake-/sea-effect snowstorms, advancement, and challenges Stan Benjamin S. Benjamin Co-Author Wiley WIREs Water https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1594 4/29/22
The History and Practice of AI in the Environmental Sciences William Moninger B. Moninger Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0234.1 5/1/22
Atmospheric Convection G. Grell Co-Author T&F Atmosphere-Ocean https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2317-2022 5/16/22
Estimating the economic impacts of improved wind speed forecasts in the United States electricity sector Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AIP Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0081905 5/17/22
Current Challenges in Climate and Weather Research and Future Directions Georg Grell G. Grell Co-Author T&F Atmosphere-Ocean https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2022.2079473 6/1/22
Effect of rotation on mixing efficiency in homogeneous stratified turbulence using unforced direct numerical simulations Duane Rosenberg D. Rosenberg Co-Author Springer Environmental Fluid Mechanics https://doi.org/10.1007/s10652-022-09869-y 6/1/22
High-Resolution Smoke Forecasting for the 2018 Camp Fire in California Eric James, Georg Grell, Ravan Ahmadov R. Ahmadov Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0329.1 6/1/22
Information Content of a Synergy of Ground-Based and Space-Based Infrared Sounders. Part I: Clear-Sky Environments Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-21-0119.1 6/1/22
Land–Snow Data Assimilation Including a Moderately Coupled Initialization Method Applied to NWP Stan Benjamin, Tanya Smirnova, Eric James, Liao-Fan Lin, Dave Turner, Siwei He, Ming Hu S. Benjamin Lead Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-21-0198.1 6/1/22
Overlapping Windows in a Global Hourly Data Assimilation System Guoqing Ge, Curtis Alexander G. Ge Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0214.1 6/1/22
Retrievals of Ozone in the Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere Using FTIR Observations Over Greenland Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author IEEE IEEE Transactions on Geosciences https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2022.3180626 6/6/22
Airborne Emission Rate Measurements Validate Remote Sensing Observations and Emission Inventories of Western U.S. Wildfires Eric James, Ravan Ahmadov E. James Co-Author ACS Environmental Science & Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.1c07121 6/21/22
NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES) Jebb Stewart J. Stewart Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0020.1 7/1/22
Prototype of a Warn-on-Forecast System for Smoke (WoFS-Smoke) Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James, Georg Grell R. Ahmadov Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0143.1 7/1/22
Short-Term Convection-Allowing Ensemble Precipitation Forecast Sensitivity to Resolution of Initial Condition Perturbations and Central Initial States David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0165.1 7/1/22
Major Regional-Scale Production of O3 and Secondary Organic Aerosol in Remote Amazon Regions from the Dynamics and Photochemistry of Urban and Forest Emissions Janaina Nascimento J. Nascimento Lead Author ACS Environmental Science & Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.2c01358 7/8/22
Development and evaluation of the Aerosol Forecast Member in the National Center for Environment Prediction (NCEP)'s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS-Aerosols v1) Li Zhang L. Zhang Lead Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5337-2022 7/13/22
Augmentation of WRF-Hydro to simulate overland-flow- and streamflow-generated debris flow susceptibility in burn scars Wei Yu W. Yu Co-Author EGU Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (EGU) https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2317-2022 7/27/22
Collaboration among Forecasters to Issue Severe Weather Hazard Information and Warnings Using the Hazard Services–Probabilistic Hazard Information (HS-PHI) Tool Kevin Manross K. Manross Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0120.1 8/1/22
Radar Reflectivity–Based Model Initialization Using Specified Latent Heating (Radar-LHI) within a Diabatic Digital Filter or Pre-Forecast Integration Stephen Weygandt, Stan Benjamin, Ming Hu, Curtis Alexander, Eric James, Tanya Smirnova S. Weygandt Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0142.1 8/1/22
The Evolving Role of Humans in Weather Prediction and Communication Daniel Nietfeld D. Nietfeld Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0326.1 8/1/22
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): An Hourly Updating Convection-Allowing Forecast Model. Part I: Motivation and System Description David Dowell, Curtis Alexander, Eric James, Stephen Weygandt, Stan Benjamin, Joseph Olson, John Brown, Ming Hu, Tanya Smirnova, Terra Ladwig, Jaymes Kenyon, Ravan Ahmadov, Dave Turner, Jeffrey Duda, Trevor Alcott D. Dowell Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0151.1 8/1/22
The HIGH-RESOLUTION Rapid Refresh (hrrr): An Hourly Updating CONVECTION-ALLOWING F... Read more Eric James, David Dowell, Curtis Alexander, Stephen Weygandt, Stan Benjamin, Joseph Olson, John Brown, Ming Hu, Tanya Smirnova, Terra Ladwig, Jaymes Kenyon, Dave Turner E. James Lead Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0130.1 8/1/22
Simulating wildfire emissions and plume rise using geostationary satellite fire radiative power measurements: a case study of the 2019 Williams Flats fire Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell R. Ahmadov Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-10195-2022 8/10/22
The Impact of Nonzenith Elevation Angles on Ground-Based Infrared Thermodynamic Retrievals Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-21-0134.1 9/1/22
Inland lake temperature initialization via coupled cycling with atmospheric data assimilation Stan Benjamin, Tanya Smirnova, Eric James S. Benjamin Lead Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6659-2022 9/5/22
Passive ground-based remote sensing of radiation fog Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-5095-2022 9/7/22
Assessment of the data assimilation framework for the Rapid Refresh Forecast System v0.1 and impacts on forecasts of a convective storm case study Guoqing Ge G. Ge Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6891-2022 9/12/22
FY 2021
COnstraining ORographic Drag Effects (COORDE): A Model Comparison of Resolved and Parametrized Orographic Drag Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1029/2020MS002160 10/1/20
An Eye on the Storm: Integrating a Wealth of Data for Quickly Advancing the Physical Understanding and Forecasting of Tropical Cyclones Samuel Trahan S. Trahan Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0020.1 10/1/20
The Multi-Scale Infrastructure for Chemistry and Aerosols (MUSICA) Georg Grell G. Grell Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0331.1 10/1/20
A Review and Evaluation of Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations in Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model Using Idealized Simulations and Observations Evan Kalina E. Kalina Co-Author MDPI Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11101091 10/13/20
Characteristics of Tropopause Polar Vortices Based on Observations over the Greenland Ice Sheet Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0004.1 11/1/20
Commercial-Aircraft-Based Observations for NWP: Global Coverage, Data Impacts, and COVID-19 Eric James, Stan Benjamin E. James Lead AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0010.1 11/1/20
Scale Awareness, Resolved Circulations, and Practical Limits in the MYNN–EDMF Boundary Layer and Shallow Cumulus Scheme Joseph Olson, Dave Turner J. Olson Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0066.1 11/1/20
CMIP6 Historical Simulations (1850–2014) With GISS-E2.1 Rainer Bleck, Shan Sun R. Bleck Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002034 11/21/20
Ceilometer-Based Rain-Rate Estimation: A Case-Study Comparison With S-Band Radar and Disdrometer Retrievals in the Context of VORTEX-SE Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author IEEE IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing https://doi.org/10.1109/TGRS.2020.2984458 12/1/20
Improvements to Lake-Effect Snow Forecasts Using a One-Way Air–Lake Model Coupling Approach S. Benjamin, E. James, T. Smirnova, C. Alexander S. Benjamin Co-Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0079.1 12/1/20
On the Prospects for Improved Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0166.1 12/1/20
Systematic Evaluation of the Impact of Assimilating a Network of Ground-Based Remote Sensing Profilers for Forecasts of Nocturnal Convection Initiation during PECAN Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0118.1 12/1/20
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclone Detection Using Deep Learning Christina Kumler, Jebb Stewart, Mark Govett C. Kumler Lead AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0117.1 12/1/20
What Does a Convection-Allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting Thunderstorms? David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0069.1 12/1/20
Wind Ramp Events Validation in NWP Forecast Models during the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) Using the Ramp Tool and Metric (RT&M) J Olson, J Kenyon, D Turner J. Olson Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0072.1 12/1/20
Exploring Convection-Allowing Model Evaluation Strategies for Severe Local Storms Using the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Model Core Curtis Alexander C. Alexander Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0090.1 12/9/20
Snow Cover Duration Trends Observed at Sites and Predicted By Multiple Models Tanya Smirnova T. Smirnova Co-Author EGU The Cryosphere https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 12/21/20
Improved Prediction of COLD-AIR Pools In The Weather Research and Forecasting Model Using A Truly Horizontal Diffusion Scheme For Potential Temperature Joseph Olson J. Olson Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0234.1 1/1/21
Scientific and Human Errors in a Snow Model Intercomparison Tanya Smirnova T. Smirnova Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0329.1 1/1/21
Improving Dust Simulations In WRF-CHEM V4.1.3 Coupled With The Gocart Aerosol Module Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell R. Ahmadov Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-473-2021 1/25/21
Assessment of Flood Forecast Products for a Coupled Tributary-Coastal Model Greg Pratt G. Pratt Co-Author MDPI Water https://doi.org/10.3390/w13030312 1/27/21
Connecting Land–Atmosphere Interactions to Surface Heterogeneity in CHEESEHEAD19 Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0346.1 2/1/21
Lidar Observations of a Mesoscale Moisture Transport Event Impacting Convection and Comparison to Rapid Refresh Model Analysis Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0151.1 2/1/21
Sensitivity of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone to the Configuration of the Global Forecast System–Eddy Diffusivity Mass Flux Planetary Boundary Layer Scheme Evan Kalina E. Kalina Lead MDPI Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12020284 2/23/21
Development of a Random-Forest Cloud-Regime Classification Model Based on Surface Radiation and Cloud Products Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-20-0153.1 4/1/21
Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United States David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0110.1 4/1/21
Ground-based temperature and humidity profiling: combining active and passive remote sensors Dave Turner D. Turner Lead EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-3033-2021 4/26/21
Time Evolution and Diurnal Variability of the Parametric Sensitivity of Turbine-Height Winds in the MYNN-EDMF Parameterization Joseph Olson J. Olson Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034000 4/30/21
Interpretable tropical cyclone intensity estimation using Dvorak-inspired machine learning techniques W. Liao W. Liao Co-Author Elsevier Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2021.104233 5/1/21
Outlook for Exploiting Artificial Intelligence in the Earth and Environmental Sciences Jebb Stewart J. Stewart Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0031.1 5/1/21
Partition of Forecast Error into Positional and Structural Components Isidora Jankov, Zoltan Toth I. Jankov Lead Springer Advances in Atmospheric Sciences https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-021-0251-7 5/9/21
How Does a Pinatubo-Size Volcanic Cloud Reach the Middle Stratosphere? Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell R. Ahmadov Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033829 5/14/21
A Progress Report on the Development of the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Ensemble E. Kalina, I. Jankov, Trevor Alcott, Joe Olson, Jeff Beck, David Dowell, Curtis Alexander E. Kalina Lead AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0098.1 6/1/21
Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Numerical Weather Prediction Model over Arctic Alaska Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0169.1 6/1/21
Large-Sample Application of Radar Reflectivity Object-Based Verification to Evaluate HRRR Warm-Season Forecasts Jeffrey Duda, Dave Turner J. Duda Lead AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0203.1 6/1/21
On the estimation of boundary layer heights: a machine learning approach Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-14-4403-2021 6/15/21
A Novel Meteorological Method To Classify Wintertime COLD-AIR Pool Events Xia Sun X. Sun Co-Author Elsevier Atmospheric Environment https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118594 7/2/21
Evaluation and Applications of Multi-Instrument Boundary-Layer Thermodynamic Retrievals Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author Springer Boundary-Layer Meteorology https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-021-00640-2 7/27/21
Single-Column Validation of a Snow Subgrid Parameterization in the Rapid Update Cycle Land-Surface Model (RUC LSM) Siwei He, Tanya Smirnova, Stan Benjamin S. He Lead AGU Water Resources Research https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR029955 7/28/21
Evaluation of a Land–Atmosphere Coupling Metric Computed from a Ground-Based Infrared Interferometer Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Hydrometeorology https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-20-0303.1 8/1/21
Influence of a Portable Near-Surface Observing Network on Experimental Ensemble Forecasts of Deep Convection Hazards during VORTEX-SE David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0237.1 8/1/21
Observational Case Study of a Persistent Cold Pool and Gap Flow in the Columbia River Basin Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0013.1 8/1/21
Observed Bulk Hook Echo Drop Size Distribution Evolution in Supercell Tornadogenesis and Tornadogenesis Failure Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0353.1 8/1/21
Stratiform Cloud-Hydrometeor Assimilation for HRRR and RAP Model Short-Range Weather Prediction S Benjamin, E James, M Hu, C Alexander, T Ladwig, J Brown, S Weygandt, D Turner S. Benjamin Lead AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0319.1 8/1/21
Diurnally varying background error covariances estimated in RMAPS-ST and their impacts on operational implementations Hongli Wang H. Wang Co-Author Elsevier Atmospheric Research https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2021.105624 8/10/21
Comparison of Observations and Predictions of Daytime Planetary-Boundary-Layer Heights and Surface Meteorological Variables in the Columbia River Gorge and Basin During the Second Wind Forecast Improvement Project Joseph Olson, Jaymes Kenyon, Dave Turner J. Olson Co-Author Springer Boundary-Layer Meteorology https://doi.org/10.1007/s10546-021-00645-x 8/17/21
Modeling Asian Dust Storms Using WRF-Chem During the DRAGON-Asia Field Campaign in April 2012 S. McKeen, L. Zhang S. McKeen Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JD034793 8/19/21
Cloud-Dependent Piecewise Assimilation Based on a Hydrometeor-Included Background Error Covariance and Its Impact on Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Hongli Wang H. Wang Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0419.1 9/1/21
The Grell–Freitas (GF) convection parameterization: recent developments, extensions, and applications Georg Grell, Haiqin Li G. Grell Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5393-2021 9/2/21
Harmonized Emissions Component (hemco) 3.0 As A Versatile Emissions Component For Atmospheric Models: Application In The Geos-chem, NASA Geos, Wrf-gc, Cesm2, NOAA Gefs-aerosol, and NOAA Ufs Models Raffaele Montuoro R. Montuoro Co-Author EGU Geoscientific Model Development https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-5487-2021 9/6/21
Using Deep Learning To Emulate and Accelerate A Radiative Transfer Model Ryan Lagerquist, Dave Turner, Jebb Stewart R. Lagerquist Lead AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-21-0007.1 9/21/21
Evaluation and intercomparison of wildfire smoke forecasts from multiple modeling systems for the 2019 Williams Flats fire Ravan Ahmadov, Georg Grell, Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-14427-2021 9/29/21
FY 2020
Self-Correction of Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity (SMOS) Soil Moisture Dry Bias Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author T&F Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing https://doi.org/10.1080/07038992.2019.1700466 10/1/19
Validating The Water Vapor Variance Similarity Relationship In The Interfacial Layer Using Observations and Large?eddy Simulations Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030653 10/1/19
An Analysis of the Processes Affecting Rapid Near-Surface Water Vapor Increases during the Afternoon to Evening Transition in Oklahoma Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0062.1 10/1/19
Impact of Ground-Based Remote Sensing Boundary Layer Observations on Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasts of a Tornadic Supercell Event Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-18-0200.1 10/1/19
Observations of Near-surface Vertical Wind Profiles and Vertical Momentum Fluxes From VORTEX-SE 2017: Comparisons To Monin–obukhov Similarity Theory Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0091.1 10/1/19
Systematic Comparison of Convection-Allowing Models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment David Dowell D. Dowell Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0056.1 10/1/19
The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment S Sun, S Benjamin, B Green, R Bleck S. San Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0270.1 10/1/19
Grand challenges in the science of wind energy Melinda Marquis M. Marquis Co-Author AAU Science https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aau2027 10/10/19
Improving Wind Energy Forecasting through Numerical Weather Prediction Model Development J Olson, J Kenyon, M Toy, D Turner, J Brown, M Marquis J. Olson Lead AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0040.1 11/1/19
Progress toward Characterization of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer over Northern Alabama Using Observations by a Vertically Pointing, S-Band Profiling Radar during VORTEX-Southeast Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0224.1 11/1/19
The Impact of Satellite Radiance Data Assimilation within a Frequently Updated Regional Forecast System Using a GSI-based Ensemble Kalman Filter M Hu, H Lin, S Benjamin, S Weygandt M. Hu Co-Author Springer Advances in Atmospheric Sciences https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-019-9011-3 11/9/19
Toward a Better Regional Ozone Forecast Over CONUS Using Rapid Data Assimilation of Clouds and Meteorology in WRF-Chem Ming Hu M. Hu Co-Author AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031232 11/14/19
A Scale-Aware Parameterization for Estimating Subgrid Variability of Downward Solar Radiation Using High-Resolution Digital Elevation Model Data S He, T Smirnova, S Benjamin S. He Lead AGU JGR Atmospheres https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031563 11/20/19
Initial Development and Testing of a Convection-Allowing Model Scorecard Curtis Alexander C. Alexander Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0218.1 12/1/19
Leveraging Modern Artificial Intelligence for Remote Sensing and NWP: Benefits and Challenges Jebb Steward J. Stewart Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0324.1 12/1/19
A Demonstration of Modern Geostationary and Polar-Orbiting Satellite Products for the Identification and Tracking of Elevated Mixed Layers Ed Szoke E. Szoke Co-Author NWA Journal of Operational Meteorology https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2019.0713 12/10/19
Evaluation of a Compact Broadband Differential Absorption Lidar for Routine Water Vapor Profiling in the Atmospheric Boundary Layer Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology https://doi.org/10.1175/JTECH-D-18-0102.1 1/1/20
Partition of analysis and forecast error variance into growing and decaying components J Feng, Z Toth J. Feng Lead RMEtS Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3738 1/3/20
Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting Using Fused Deep Learning From Aligned Reanalysis Data Christina Kumler C. Kumler Co-Author Frontiers Frontiers in Big Data https://doi.org/10.3389/fdata.2020.00001 1/27/20
An Analysis of Alternatives for the COSMIC-2 Constellation in the Context of Global Observing System Simulation Experiments M Mueller M. Mueller Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0185.1 2/1/20
Eye of the Storm: Observing Hurricanes with a Small Unmanned Aircraft System Evan Kalina E. Kalina Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0169.1 2/1/20
The Motion of Mesoscale Snowbands In Northeast U.S. Winter Storms Jaymes Kenyon J. Kenyon Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0038.1 2/1/20
A Verification Approach Used in Developing the Rapid Refresh and Other Numerical Weather Prediction Models D. Turner, J Hamilton, W Moninger, M Smith, B Strong, R Pierce, V Hagerty, K Holub, S Benjamin D. Turner Lead NWA Journal of Operational Meteorology https://doi.org/10.15191/nwajom.2020.0803 2/20/20
Characterizing NWP Model Errors Using Doppler-Lidar Measurements of Recurrent Regional Diurnal Flows: Marine-Air Intrusions into the Columbia River Basin J. Olson, J Kenyon, D Turner J. Olson Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0188.1 3/1/20
Impact of the Hydrometeor Vertical Advection Method on HWRF’s Simulated Hurricane Structure Ligia Bernardet, Evan Kalina L. Bernardet Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0006.1 4/1/20
The impacts of transported wildfire smoke aerosols on surface air quality in New York State: A case study in summer 2018 Ravan Ahmadov, Eric James R. Ahmadov Co-Author Elsevier Atmospheric Environment https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2020.117415 4/15/20
A Multi-Time-Scale Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation Scheme and Its Application to Simulated Radial Velocity and Reflectivity Data Hongli Wang H. Wang Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0203.1 5/1/20
A New Measure of Ensemble Central Tendency Zoltan Toth Z. Toth Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0213.1 6/1/20
An Evaluation of a Hybrid, Terrain-Following Vertical Coordinate in the WRF-Based RAP and HRRR Models J Beck, J Brown, M Hu, E James, J Kenyon, T Smirnova J. Beck Lead AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0146.1 6/1/20
Current and Emerging Developments in Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction B. Green B. Green Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0037.1 6/1/20
Evaluation of the Grell–Freitas Convective Scheme in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model E Kalina, L Bernardet, J Frimel, G Grell E. Kalina Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0124.1 6/1/20
Global Estimates and Long-Term Trends of Fine Particulate Matter Concentrations (1998–2018) Li Zhang L. Zhang Co-Author ACS Environmental Science & Technology https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.0c01764 6/3/20
A fast visible-wavelength 3D radiative transfer model for numerical weather prediction visualization and forward modeling Z Toth, R Ahmadov, E James, S Miller Z. Toth Co-Author EGU Atmospheric Measurement Techniques https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-13-3235-2020 6/18/20
Impact of Refractivity Profiles from a Proposed GNSS-RO Constellation on Tropical Cyclone Forecasts in a Global Modeling System M Mueller, T Peevey M. Mueller Lead AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0360.1 7/1/20
NOAA’s Sensing Hazards with Operational Unmanned Technology (SHOUT) Experiment Observations and Forecast Impacts J English, T Peevey, H Wang J. English Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0257.1 7/1/20
Effect of Logarithmically Transformed IMERG Precipitation Observations in WRF 4D-Var Data Assimilation System Liao-Fan Lin L. Lin Co-Author MDPI Water https://doi.org/10.3390/w12071918 7/5/20
GISS-E2.1: Configurations and Climatology Rainer Bleck, Shan Sun R. Bleck Co-Author AGU Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002025 7/10/20
A Hazard Multiple: Overlapping Tornado and Flash Flood Warnings in a National Weather Service Forecast Office in the Southeastern United States Jennifer Henderson J. Henderson Lead AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0216.1 8/1/20
Recommendations for Developing Useful and Usable Convection-Allowing Model Ensemble Information for NWS Forecasters I Jankov, T Alcott, C Alexander, D Nietfeld, S Benjamin I. Jankov Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0108.1 8/1/20
The Lightning and Dual-Polarization Radar Characteristics of Three Hail-Accumulating Thunderstorms Evan Kalina E. Kalina Co-Author AMS Weather and Forecasting https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0224.1 8/1/20
Evaluating the WFIP2 updates to the HRRR model using scanning Doppler lidar measurements in the complex terrain of the Columbia River Basin J Kenyon, J Olson, D Turner J. Kenyon Co-Author AIP Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0009138 8/11/20
Cascading Toward A Kilometer-scale Gcm: Impacts of A Scale-aware Convection Parameterization In The Goddard Earth Observing System Gcm Georg Grell G. Grell Co-Author AGU Geophysical Research Letters https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087682 8/21/20
Addressing the sensitivity of forecast impact to flight path design for targeted observations of extratropical winter storms: A demonstration in an OSSE framework Hongli Wang H. Wang Co-Author RMetS Meteorological Applications https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1942 8/26/20
Optimal Estimation Retrievals and Their Uncertainties: What Every Atmospheric Scientist Should Know Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author AMS Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0027.1 9/1/20
Rapid-Scan and Polarimetric Radar Observations of the Dissipation of a Violent Tornado on 9 May 2016 near Sulphur, Oklahoma Darrel Kingfield D. Kingfield Co-Author AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0033.1 9/1/20
Effect of Fluvial Discharges and Remote Non-tidal Residuals On Compound Flood Forecasting In San Francisco Bay Greg Pratt, Michael Leon G. Pratt Co-Author MDPI Water https://doi.org/10.3390/w12092481 9/4/20
Vortex Initialization in the NCEP Operational Hurricane Models Samuel Trahan, Ligia Bernardet S. Trahan Co-Author MDPI Atmosphere https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11090968 9/10/20
Atmospheric boundary layer height disambiguation using synergistic remote sensing observations: case examples from VORTEX-SE Dave Turner D. Turner Co-Author SPIE Remote Sensing https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2576093 9/20/20
Comparing Numerical Accuracy of Icosahedral A-Grid and C-Grid Schemes in Solving the Shallow-Water Model Y Yu, N Wang, J Middlecoff, M Govett Y. Yu Lead AMS Monthly Weather Review https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0024.1 10/1/20

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